Bonds & Fixed Income

Bond Investing

Stock Market 2011

Summer 2011 Investment Ideas – How did we do?

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In May, we posted our summer 2011 investment ideas.  Now that fall has arrived let’s see how we did vs the market.

 

Here’s our original investments and allocations -

Stock Investments for 2011

Investments for 2011

 

Here’s how we did.

 

Stock Market 2011

 

 

More details and analysis to follow.  Although we lost money, we still beat the market.  Not bad in my mind!

Summer 2011 Investments Part 3 – CVY

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CVY, or the Guggenheim Multi-Asset Income ETF, was a good find by a friend in 2010.  I’ve owned this since late 2010 with about an 11% gain (plus dividends).  This ETF is a well diversified basket of stocks, bonds, preferred stock, ADR’s, REIT’s, MLP’s, and royalty trusts.  Quite a basket of investments all into one ETF. The fund tracks the “Zacks Multi-Asset Income Index” for its investments.  CVY pays a nice dividend of around 4.7%.

The expense ratio of 0.60% is a bit higher but still in line with most ETF’s.  I’ll pay a little higher expense ration for higher returns any day.


Top Fund Holdings
SEADRILL LTD     1.48 %
CONOCOPHILLIPS .     1.38 %
CHEVRON CORP .     1.34 %
LINN ENERGY LLC .     1.29 %
WELLS FARGO & COMPANY     1.12 %
EATON VANCE LIMITED DURATION INCOME FUND     1.10 %
ALLIANCEBERNSTEIN GLOBAL HIGH INCOME FUND INC     1.07 %
PROVIDENT ENERGY LTD     1.06 %
ANNALY CAPITAL MANAGEMENT INC .     1.03 %
AMERICAN CAPITAL AGENCY CORP     1.03 %

TOP FUND SECTORS

SECTOR     WEIGHTING
Finance     20.50 %
Oils/Energy     18.12 %
Consumer Staples     13.06 %
Utilities     12.53 %
Closed End Funds     9.66 %
Computer & Technology     6.83 %
Medical     6.02 %
Aerospace     2.93 %
Basic Materials     2.56 %
Consumer Discretionary     2.31 %
Industrial Products     1.46 %
Construction     1.37 %
Retail/Wholesale     1.00 %
Transportation     0.85 %
Business Services     0.79 %

 

As you can see, the fund is leveraged heavily into energy and financial services.  Another economic downturn could hit this fund quite hard.  But with just a 10% portfolio allocation like I recommend, you aren’t betting the farm on this either.  I believe this ETF is also one to keep for a while.  Energy isn’t going anywhere and financial services will pick back up.  There may be some short term speed bumps though.

**disclosure – I am long CVY

Summer 2011 Investments – CSJ

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The first investment I’ll cover is the largest piece of my portfolio.  Again, this is a very conservative portfolio and you could change the allocation any way you want.

CSJ is the iShares Barclays 1-3 Year Credit Bond ETF.  It currently yields around 2% and is a relatively safe investment.

From CSJ’s information page:

The Fund seeks investment results that correspond to the investment grade credit sector of the U.S. bond market as defined by the Barclays Capital 1-3 Year U.S. Credit Index. The Index includes investment grade U.S. credit securities that have a remaining maturity of 1 to 3 years.

The reason I like CSJ so much is that it invests in short term corporate bonds.  Almost all holdings mature in less than 3 years.  This keeps interest rate risk to a minimum (but it is still there).  As rates start to rise we will see a pullback on security price.  But on the long term this should still be a fairly safe income investment. This is especially useful for someone looking to diversify out of US Treasury bonds.

The expense ratio only knocks off 0.20% off your return.

Stock Investments for 2011

Summer 2011 – What will the stock market do?

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If anyone could answer this question – we’d all be rich!  Keep in mind… this is my own opinion,.  For every person that tells you the Dow is going to 15K I’ll find you someone it’s going to 5.

Here’s my opinion on what to own in summer 2011.  I am a more conservative investor during big run-ups like we’ve seen since 2008 (100% gain!!).

Here’s what I like.

Stock Investments for 2011

Investments for 2011

More details to come on each stock and why I like it…

CSJ – Online Investing Advisor Notes

VIG – Online Investing Advisor Notes

CVY – Online Investing Advisor Notes

VWO – Online Investing Advisor Notes

Quotes – CSJ , CVY , HYG, VIG, NLY

Lending Club

Who Needs Stocks or Bonds, When This Will Yield at Least 8%

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Lending Club

Sound like I’m nuts??  We’ll I’m not.  Let me introduce you to investing 2.0.  It’s called Lending Club.  Believe me – I was skeptical too.  But with no minimum investment I figured I would give it a shot.  I’ll tell you I was pleasantly surprised.  Below is my review.

LendingClub’s homepage claims a 9.5% annualized return as of 09/05/2010.  They also report a mere 2% default rate on their total number of loans.  How in the world can that happen was my first question… how can make 9% in this economy?  The answer is pretty ingenious.  Makes me wonder why I didn’t think of it first…

After signing up and making my first cash deposit (paypal was offered at signup) you are then able to buy notes.  Below is a sample of what you can search for.  You can filter by interest rate, length of note, or keyword (ie. credit card).

lending club notesEverything a bank would use to lend money is available for you to see.  Within each loan is a detailed look at the profile of the requester.  Employment history, gross income, number of delinquencies, bankruptcies, etc.  If you see a red flag in the profile – don’t invest!  Very easy.  You are also able to ask the member questions if you decide to.  For instance – if you were on the fence because of his high revolving credit balance you could ask them how they plan on using this loan.  Please note:  much of this info is unverified.  Members who are requesting loans are encouraged to get their income and employment verified.  This at least give lenders a better idea of their financial situation.

So how has my experience gone?  I signed up for LendingClub in April and so far I’ve been very impressed.  One BIG limitation for me is that I was not able to lend directly in new loans.  LendingClub loans are only allowed in 17 states (check the terms for list).  That doesn’t mean you can’t buy the notes from other lenders though.  LendingClub has a trading platform to buy and sell your notes before they reach maturity.  I actually bought most of my notes at a 1-2% discount.  You have to watch out though, there are people on there trying to dump worthless default notes so make sure you only by notes that are current on payment.  As you can see below, you can filter by interest rate, term, etc and also sort the columns.

lending club trading platformYou are also able to view the original listing thru the trading platform so you’re still able to see all of the original Q&A’s, financial information, and notes from the member.

So now I have my account … How do I make money?

Great question!  Most of the loans are structured as 36 month notes.  60 month notes came out a few months ago but i haven’t really looked at those much.  As you can see, it’s all about risk and reward.  Want to take a chance on a less than steller credit score?  Then you could make up to 20% interest on your investment.  But even the top credit scores will earn you over 8%.  And with credit scores in the 700+ range… your risk of default is next to zero.  In today’s volatile stock market – I’ll take that!

I picked a wide range of notes from the A grade (top credit) to the G grade (bottom).  Below is my portfolio of notes.

lending club portfolioSo far I’ve only had one note go late (the G grade) but they’re on a payment plan so I am still getting paid.  All of my others have been on time.  As you can see I am making just under 14% with my allocation of notes.  I went a little on the risky side just to see what the collection process was if a note went late.  Lending Club does all of the collections, payment plans, payment reminders, etc.  You sit back and collect the interest and late fees.  Not bad at all.

Overall, I think Lending Club is great for an investment.  If you are looking for a semi-liquid investment I think you’ll find Lending Club is perfect for you.  I believe the only drawback is the amount of time it takes to research your potential loans.

Retirement Investment Options – It’s not like the old days…

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Anyone who has money in a 401k or any retirement account knows that 2000-2010 was the “lost decade”.  In this 10 year period stocks basically stayed flat after the big booms and busts.

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